Instructions:
Last Date of Submission: November 16, 2009
Marks: 15
· Make sure that you upload the solution file before due date. No
assignment will be accepted through e-mail after the due date.
· File once uploaded will not be replaced under any condition so you
should upload the correct file in first go.
Formatting guidelines
· Use the font style “Times New Roman” and font size “12”.
· Compose your document in MS-Word preferably in MS-Word
2003.
· Use black and blue font colors only.
Solution guidelines
· The student will work individually.
· Give the answer according to question, there will be negative
marking for irrelevant material.
· Show your calculation in the given tabular format. Support your
solution with separate complete working/calculations of each
and every step. Marks will be deducted if complete
working/calculations are not shown.
Please note that your assignment will not be graded if:
· It is submitted after due date.
· The file you uploaded does not open.
· It is not in the required format.
· Cheating or copying of assignment is strictly prohibited. The
cheated or copied assignment will be marked as Zero.
Assignment 1
Semester Fall 2009
PRODUCTION AND OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT
(MGT613)
Problem:
The Pizza Point is a small restaurant catering to the customers who have a taste for
oriental pizza. The manager forecasts the demand on weekly basis for this type of pizzas
so that he can order ingredients weekly. Recently demand has been as follows:
Week Demand of Pizzas
April 2 50
April 9 65
April 16 52
April 23 56
April 30 55
May 7 60
May 14 56
May 21
a. Forecast the demand for pizza for April 23 – May 21 by using simple moving
average method with n = 3.
b. Using the same data forecast for April 23 – May 21 with weighted moving
average method where n =3 and weights are 0.50, 0.30, 0.20. Apply 0.50 to the
most recent demand.
c. Use the exponential smoothing method to forecast the demand of pizzas for April
9 – May 7; where smoothing constant (alpha) α = 0.1. Assume F1=D1
Record the results of your calculation in given tabular format as below:
Week Demand of Pizzas Forecast
(simple
moving Avg)
Forecast
(weighted
moving Avg)
Forecast
α =0.1
April 2 50
April 9 65
April 16 52
April 23 56
April 30 55
May 7 60
May 14 56
May 21
Last Date of Submission: November 16, 2009
Marks: 15
· Make sure that you upload the solution file before due date. No
assignment will be accepted through e-mail after the due date.
· File once uploaded will not be replaced under any condition so you
should upload the correct file in first go.
Formatting guidelines
· Use the font style “Times New Roman” and font size “12”.
· Compose your document in MS-Word preferably in MS-Word
2003.
· Use black and blue font colors only.
Solution guidelines
· The student will work individually.
· Give the answer according to question, there will be negative
marking for irrelevant material.
· Show your calculation in the given tabular format. Support your
solution with separate complete working/calculations of each
and every step. Marks will be deducted if complete
working/calculations are not shown.
Please note that your assignment will not be graded if:
· It is submitted after due date.
· The file you uploaded does not open.
· It is not in the required format.
· Cheating or copying of assignment is strictly prohibited. The
cheated or copied assignment will be marked as Zero.
Assignment 1
Semester Fall 2009
PRODUCTION AND OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT
(MGT613)
Problem:
The Pizza Point is a small restaurant catering to the customers who have a taste for
oriental pizza. The manager forecasts the demand on weekly basis for this type of pizzas
so that he can order ingredients weekly. Recently demand has been as follows:
Week Demand of Pizzas
April 2 50
April 9 65
April 16 52
April 23 56
April 30 55
May 7 60
May 14 56
May 21
a. Forecast the demand for pizza for April 23 – May 21 by using simple moving
average method with n = 3.
b. Using the same data forecast for April 23 – May 21 with weighted moving
average method where n =3 and weights are 0.50, 0.30, 0.20. Apply 0.50 to the
most recent demand.
c. Use the exponential smoothing method to forecast the demand of pizzas for April
9 – May 7; where smoothing constant (alpha) α = 0.1. Assume F1=D1
Record the results of your calculation in given tabular format as below:
Week Demand of Pizzas Forecast
(simple
moving Avg)
Forecast
(weighted
moving Avg)
Forecast
α =0.1
April 2 50
April 9 65
April 16 52
April 23 56
April 30 55
May 7 60
May 14 56
May 21
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